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‘A clear shift toward fewer but larger deals’ – mega-deals fuel growth as partners predict 2025 M&A trends

M&A

Shaking hands over briefcaseLeading M&A partners are predicting an increase in deal activity in 2025 driven by sectors including tech, financial services and private capital, as full year M&A legal adviser rankings from the London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG) highlight the increasing influence of top US firms on the market.

The LSEG report shows global M&A activity increased by 10% during 2024, reaching a total value of $3.2trn. This was driven by a  17% rise in mega-deals worth more than $5bn, with 96 of these blockbuster deals totalling $1.1trn across the year. 

The increase in value came against a 14% drop in the total number of deals  worldwide, however, with  50,200 deals representing an eight-year low in global deal volume. The number of deals under $500m fell by 17% year-on-year, against a 4% decline in global mid-market deal value.

Top 20 global principal advisers announced

Rank Firm Total deal value Number of deals
1 Kirkland & Ellis $413.2bn 776
2 Latham & Watkins $391.4bn 657
3 Skadden $346.7bn 200
4 Paul Weiss $305.5bn 208
5 Freshfields $268.8bn 259
6 Wachtell $240.1bn 73
7 Simpson Thacher $226.2bn 221
8 Linklaters $207.4bn 253
9 Cleary Gottlieb $201.7bn 138
10 Davis Polk $189.8bn 135
11 Gibson Dunn $168.6bn 283
12 Sullivan & Cromwell $151.7bn 110
13 Debevoise & Plimpton $116.6bn 79
14 Goodwin Procter $116bn 893
15 DLA Piper $112.3bn 872
16 Cravath $111.2bn 36
17 Ropes & Gray $107.5bn 196
18 Sidley Austin $99bn 242
19 Clifford Chance $95bn 185
20 A&O Shearman $94.4bn 319

Kirkland & Ellis took the top spot in LSEG’s global principal adviser legal table once again, securing mandates on 776 deals worth a total of $413.2bn. Notable deals included advising sell-side on the $36bn acquisition of Pringles and Pop-Tarts maker Kellanova by Mars, as well as buy-side on EP Group’s proposed takeover of the Royal Mail. 

Kirkland private equity heavyweight David Higgins predicts a busy 2025 for private capital, as funds look to deploy their capital across both public and private M&A.  ‘We also expect the pace of exits to increase as investors focus on returning value to their LPs. Asset management M&A among investors is also likely to remain active,’ he added.

Latham & Watkins came in second place, securing mandates on 657 deals valued at $391.4bn, including advising Skydance Media on its multibillion-dollar merger with Paramount Global. 

‘2024 was another outstanding year of growth for our global M&A practice, and we are excited by the outlook and pipeline for the months ahead,’ said Latham corporate partner Sam Newhouse. 

Globally, we’ve built a fantastic transactional platform at Latham with deep expertise across every major financial centre and sector driving the global economy, enabling us to work with our clients at every phase of their business life cycle.’ 

Skadden ranked third among principal advisers on globally announced deals, valued at $346.7bn. This included advising Mars on its acquisition of Kellanova, opposite Kirkland.

Lorenzo Corte, global head of Skadden’s transactions practices, expressed enthusiasm for the M&A market for 2025: ‘Looking ahead, we are highly optimistic about the deal pipeline across the London office, as well as broader activity in the US and Europe.’ 

He added that despite some regulatory headwinds, pressure could lessen over time. ‘If that coincides with growing market confidence, it could serve as a catalyst for a surge in activity in 2025, creating a dynamic environment for transformative deals,’ he explained.

While US firms continue to dominate the rankings, with Paul Weiss, Wachtell, Simpson Thacher, Cleary Gottlieb, and Davis Polk all in the top ten, magic circle firm Freshfields claimed the fifth spot, and Linklaters secured eighth position in the global announced deals table, with each firm improving its ranking on last year.

Co-head of Freshfields’ global M&A practice Andrew Hutchings highlighted the firm’s strong performance in sectors such as technology, financial services and life sciences last year. ‘We saw a clear shift toward fewer but larger deals’, he said. ‘This played to our strengths, as we excel in advising on complex, high-value transactions that require a nuanced understanding of global markets and regulatory frameworks.’

Looking to the year ahead he said that while geopolitical factors will continue to influence M&A strategy, AI and technology will continue to drive activity. He added: ‘We anticipate continued momentum across a range of sectors including technology, life sciences, financial services and energy transition. Public takeover activity will continue for strategic and private capital clients.’

Simon Branigan, global head of corporate at Linklaters said stronger investor confidence and better economic conditions will likely mean further revival of the M&A market in 2025, with technological advances again fuelling deals.

He said: ‘2025 will be marked by robust M&A activity characterised by strategic investments in technology, sustainability, and global expansion. Key influences will include technological advancements as companies seek competitive advantages through innovative acquisitions, alongside a heightened focus on ESG factors driving sustainability-focused transactions.’

Melissa Fogarty, co-head of Clifford Chance’s corporate practice in London, said she expects ‘strong, sustained activity’ in 2025, particularly in sectors like financial services, tech, energy, and healthcare and life sciences. 

‘This will be led by companies with strong strategic visions leveraging the more favourable market conditions, alongside private capital which is expected to play a significant role as debt pricing improves and valuation gaps narrow,’ she added. ‘However, the market is not without its headwinds; geopolitical uncertainties amongst them,’ she warned.

Top 20 any US involvement announced

Rank Firm Total deal value Number of deals
1 Kirkland & Ellis $400.7bn 741
2 Skadden $388.1bn 155
3 Paul Weiss $343.4bn 193
4 Latham & Watkins $340bn 515
5 Sullivan & Cromwell $309bn 131
6 Gibson Dunn $250.7bn 264
7 Wachtell $240.8bn 68
8 Simpson Thacher $211.4bn 194
9 Davis Polk $209.4bn 129
10 Freshfields $165.9bn 109
11 Cravath $158.6bn 55
12 Cleary Gottlieb $156.6bn 87
13 Goodwin Procter $150.1bn 743
14 White & Case $125.5bn 144
15 Ropes & Gray $112.5bn 199
16 Fried Frank $103bn 46
17 Debevoise & Plimpton $102.9bn 72
18 Sidley Austin $99bn 231
19 DLA Piper $94.8bn 489
20 Linklaters $93.6bn 82

While LSEG’s data highlights the growing influence of US firms in the UK M&A markets, with US firms holding six of the top ten spots in the UK announced deals table, it also showed an improvement in the positions of both Linklaters and Freshfields in the US deal tables.  Freshfields came tenth, up from 13th position, with Linklaters climbing from 24th to 20th. Looking at completed US deals in 2024, Freshfields, Linklaters and Clifford Chance all improved their positions markedly. 

Freshfields’ Hutchings added: ‘The US market remains a critical driver of global activity, and our ability to combine deep local expertise with cross-border capabilities has been a key differentiator for our clients. The success of the growth of our US practice is really exciting for the entire firm and a differentiator.’

Additional reporting by Anna Huntley and Tom Cox. 

elisha.juttla@legalease.co.uk